Perturbed CO2 forecasts of the February 2019 European heatwave
This dataset contains a range of model output from both operational runs of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) CY45R1 model forecasts and hindcasts and output from specific experimental runs.
These data were produced to support the article "Forecast-based attribution of a winter heatwave within the limit of predictability" (see citation and link to paper elsewhere on this record).
Within the archived products the directory tree structure is as follows:
Top level domain splitting:
>EU
Model data at 0.25 degree resolution for the region contained within (33 to 73.5N / -27 to 45E).
>GLOB
Model data at 0.25 degree resolution for the full globe.
Below which there are sub-directories as follows (note, M-climate is only available for the EU domain):
>>ENS
Data from the operational Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) forecast.
>>M-climate
Data from EPS hindcasts used to construct model climate. See https://confluence.ecmwf.int/display/FUG/M-climate%2C+the+ENS+Model+Climate.
>>pi-CO2
Data from EPS forecast that replicates operations *but for* reduced CO2 concentrations, set to 285 ppm.
>>incr-CO2
Data from EPS forecast that replicates operations *but for* increased CO2 concentrations, set to 600 ppm.
Within these runs the data are then available on the following level types:
>>>pl
Data on pressure levels.
>>>sfc
Data on single levels.
Ensemble data are further split into sub-directories as follows:
>>>>cf
Control forecast member.
>>>>pf
Perturbed forecast members.
The specific variables available within each netCDF file can differ depending on the region and experiment type (eg. the operational ENS forecasts whose initialisation dates match those of the perturbed CO2 experiments have more variables available than the others). All the datasets & variables required to reproduce the analysis are described in the paper.
Forecast-based attribution of a winter heatwave within the limit of predictability. Nicholas J. Leach, Antje Weisheimer, Myles R. Allen, Tim Palmer. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Dec 2021, 118 (49) e2112087118; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2112087118
Default
Identification info
- Metadata Language
- English (en)
- Dataset Reference Date ()
- 2021-11-17T12:05:32
- Dataset Reference Date ()
- 2021-11-17T12:05:32
- Identifier
- NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis / dd6a312c701f47778390de50cd052071
- Identifier
- doi / 10.5285/dd6a312c701f47778390de50cd052071
- Maintenance and update frequency
- notPlanned
- Update scope
- dataset
- Keywords
-
- CO2
- ECMWF
- European heatwave
- GEMET - INSPIRE themes, version 1.0 ()
-
- atmospheric conditions
- Limitations on Public Access
- otherRestrictions
- Other constraints
- Public data: access to these data is available to both registered and non-registered users.
- Use constraints
- otherRestrictions
- Spatial representation type
- grid
- Topic category
-
- Climatology, meteorology, atmosphere
- Begin date
- 2019-01-14T00:00:00
- End date
- 2019-03-01T00:00:00
- Code
- WGS 84
Distribution Information
- Data format
-
-
Data are netCDF formatted
()
-
Data are netCDF formatted
()
- Resource Locator
-
CEDA Data Catalogue Page
Detail and access information for the resource
- Resource Locator
-
DOWNLOAD
Download Data
- Resource Locator
-
IFS documentation
No further details.
- Resource Locator
-
CEDA Data Catalogue Page
Detail and access information for the resource
- Resource Locator
-
DOWNLOAD
Download Data
- Resource Locator
-
IFS documentation
No further details.
- Quality Scope
- dataset
Report
- Dataset Reference Date ()
- 2010-12-08
- Statement
- Data were generated using the ECMWF IFS CY45R1 model at Tco639 resolution. Data are either operational forecast data, or experiments that use an identical model version and setup to operations in which the CO2 concentration has been perturbed. These experiments would replicate operations but for the CO2 perturbations. Data were post-processed using cdo1.9.8 and NCO4.7.2. The data were then sent to the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis (CEDA) for archiving.
Metadata
- File identifier
- dd6a312c701f47778390de50cd052071 XML
- Metadata Language
- English (en)
- Character set
- 8-bit variable size UCS Transfer Format, based on ISO/IEC 10646
- Resource type
- dataset
- Metadata Date
- 2024-04-15T23:41:42
- Metadata standard name
- UK GEMINI
- Metadata standard version
- 2.3